WIDER Working Paper No. 2013/094 Foreign aid, public sector and private consumption: A cointegrated vector autoregressive approach
نویسندگان
چکیده
This paper employs a cointegrated vector autoregressive model to assess the growth effect of aid in Uganda over the period 1972-2008. Results show that aid in Uganda has had both direct and indirect beneficial association with growth; that it is the productivity and not the stead state level of investment that contributes to achieving target growth rates; and that consumption spending is more beneficial to growth because it contributes to private incomes and consumption. In terms of policy, it is crucial to strengthen fiscal response to aid receipts and ensure aid funded projects are closely monitored and contract specifications are strictly enforced. Moreover, donors need to accept the politically unpalatable fact that aid has an important role in supporting consumption spending.
منابع مشابه
WIDER Working Paper No. 2013/101 A timeseries analysis of the impact of foreign aid on central government’s fiscal budget in Uganda
A dynamic relationship between foreign aid and domestic fiscal variables in Uganda is analysed using a cointegrated vector autoregressive model over the period 1972-2008. Results show that aid is a significant element of long-run fiscal equilibrium, is associated with increased tax effort and public spending, and reduced domestic borrowing. Shocks to tax revenue are the pulling forces, while th...
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